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Red137
240356.8
116542.6
418327.8
Blue138
247839.4
414630.4
237541.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261116080100140160180200137138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points26
23Total auto26
Teleoperatedlevel
18Coral scored#21
66Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
108Total teleop108
Reef
11L4#12
6L3#4
2L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
137Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.3
55.055.4
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End6.7
red by 15.2
41.60.7
40.441.1
Auto11.1
Teleop29.4
End1.0
Second
42.60.3
40.841.1
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End0.5
red by 3.2
39.40.7
38.338.9
Auto6.3
Teleop31.0
End2.0
Third
4183
#11
27.80.3
26.026.3
Auto2.6
Teleop22.9
End2.2
blue by 2.7
4146
#16
30.40.7
29.330.0
Auto4.0
Teleop24.2
End2.2