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Red128
248631.8
49858.7
498C38.6
Blue69
635229.3
498B24.4
1050624.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1487405010020025012869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
19Coral scored#12
70Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
108Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
128Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#5
58.70.0
58.558.5
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End7.6
red by 29.4
6352
#10
29.30.2
29.529.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.3
End7.7
Second
38.60.0
38.238.2
Auto3.2
Teleop32.1
End3.3
red by 13.7
24.90.2
25.124.9
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End1.3
Third
2486
#18
31.80.0
31.531.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 7.3
24.40.2
24.724.4
Auto4.4
Teleop19.4
End0.6