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Red174
240356.8
116542.6
418327.8
Blue139
248631.8
49858.7
498C38.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231380200300400500600174139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
27Coral scored#22
98Coral points78
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
122Total teleop116
Reef
11L4#10
7L3#6
7L2#4
7L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points0
174Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.81.0
55.456.4
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End6.7
blue by 1.9
498
#5
58.70.2
58.558.7
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End7.6
Second
42.61.0
41.142.1
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End0.5
red by 4.0
38.60.4
38.238.6
Auto3.2
Teleop32.1
End3.3
Third
4183
#11
27.81.0
26.327.3
Auto2.6
Teleop22.9
End2.2
blue by 4.0
2486
#18
31.80.2
31.531.8
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7