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Red28
418330.8
247830.6
38534.4
Blue37
775511.6
2486B10.3
90917.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95220501502837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+3
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
4Coral scored#4
13Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
23Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +6
2Cage & park8
2Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
28Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#21
30.83.4
30.026.6
Auto3.6
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 19.2
7755
#24
11.60.2
8.68.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End3.1
Second
2478
#12
30.63.4
35.632.3
Auto4.4
Teleop23.3
End2.9
red by 20.3
10.30.2
8.08.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End2.3
Third
3853
#30
4.43.4
7.23.8
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End1.1
blue by 3.0
9091
#31
7.30.2
7.67.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed4%Barge oddsMissed