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Red71
99614.2
970413.6
394422.9
Blue75
248637.0
1098814.6
38534.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395201001502007175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#10
32Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
58Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
71Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3944
#23
22.92.1
16.919.0
Auto3.8
Teleop17.2
End1.9
blue by 14.2
37.01.9
30.732.5
Auto11.5
Teleop23.1
End2.4
Second
996
#16
14.22.1
11.013.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 0.3
14.62.5
12.414.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
9704
#27
13.62.1
11.513.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.7
red by 9.2
3853
#30
4.41.9
3.85.7
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed