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Red40
1025615.1
4146B13.4
90917.3
Blue75
414631.2
26627.7
635233.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37810501001502004075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+33
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
27Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
40Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.10.4
12.913.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.9
blue by 18.2
33.20.7
28.629.3
Auto7.4
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Second
13.40.7
13.514.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 17.8
4146
#14
31.20.7
28.929.6
Auto4.9
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Third
9091
#31
7.30.4
7.07.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End0.8
blue by 0.3
2662
#25
7.70.7
7.78.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed