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Red72
418330.8
775511.6
991B12.6
Blue73
394422.9
248637.0
1165B11.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537701001502002507273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
51Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
72Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#21
30.80.3
26.927.2
Auto3.6
Teleop25.1
End2.1
blue by 6.3
37.00.2
32.532.4
Auto11.5
Teleop23.1
End2.4
Second
991B
#26
12.60.3
13.513.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End1.5
blue by 10.3
3944
#23
22.90.2
19.018.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.2
End1.9
Third
7755
#24
11.60.3
9.69.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.1
End3.1
blue by 0.3
11.90.3
13.613.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed