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Red70
498C45.3
4146B13.4
Blue82
970413.6
647924.0
247830.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697802004006008001,0007082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+22
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
42Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#6
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
70Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.4
42.542.9
Auto6.0
Teleop33.7
End5.6
red by 14.7
2478
#12
30.60.6
32.032.6
Auto4.4
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Second
13.40.6
14.314.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
blue by 10.6
24.00.6
25.025.6
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Third
8.20.5
8.18.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End2.4
blue by 5.4
9704
#27
13.60.6
13.614.2
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed