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Red170
498C45.3
240358.0
394422.9
Blue36
647924.0
1050622.7
247830.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1318005010015020017036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+116Teleop
+134Endgame
+134Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +89
20Coral scored#4
71Coral points14
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
18Processor points6
24Net points4
42Algae points10
113Total teleop24
Reef
7L4#1
6L3#1
7L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#6
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +134
0Foul points0
170Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.01.1
55.957.0
Auto10.9
Teleop39.3
End7.7
red by 27.4
2478
#12
30.61.0
32.531.5
Auto4.4
Teleop23.3
End2.9
Second
45.31.1
43.244.3
Auto6.0
Teleop33.7
End5.6
red by 21.2
24.01.0
26.024.9
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Third
3944
#23
22.91.1
20.922.0
Auto3.8
Teleop17.2
End1.9
red by 0.1
22.71.0
23.822.7
Auto2.9
Teleop18.6
End1.2