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Red148
248637.0
418330.8
116548.9
Blue105
635233.2
1025615.1
414631.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12072050100150200148105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+61Teleop
+41Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +50
19Coral scored#11
70Coral points40
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
110Total teleop60
Reef
11L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +43
2Foul points0
148Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.9
45.045.9
Auto12.4
Teleop36.8
End-0.3
red by 15.7
33.20.7
31.332.0
Auto7.4
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Second
37.00.9
33.134.0
Auto11.5
Teleop23.1
End2.4
red by 5.8
4146
#14
31.20.7
29.330.0
Auto4.9
Teleop24.6
End1.7
Third
4183
#21
30.80.9
26.927.8
Auto3.6
Teleop25.1
End2.1
red by 15.7
15.10.7
13.213.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End2.9