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Red84
237057.8
15136.9
457520.3
Blue148
13146.8
50111.7
740784.3
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13715810020084148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+42
Endgame+64
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave6
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
11Coral scored#19
39Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
6Processor points12
28Net points8
34Algae points20
73Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#12
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points0
84Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#49
57.83.4
64.561.1
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
blue by 26.5
7407
#11
84.30.1
83.983.7
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
Second
151
#50
36.93.4
32.328.9
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8
blue by 9.9
131
#10
46.80.1
42.041.9
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
Third
4575
#56
20.33.4
23.620.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
red by 8.5
501
#44
11.70.1
10.310.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned