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Qual 102025 BattleCry at WPI
Red148
854427.6
271345.7
287637.5
Blue85
205335.9
964238.3
1022910.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114113809010012013014015016014885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+39Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
19Coral scored#13
70Coral points46
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
24Processor points12
12Net points16
36Algae points28
106Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
148Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#28
45.72.1
42.7→44.9
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
red by 7.5
9642
#43
38.32.3
46.9→44.7
Auto9.1
Teleop24.2
End5.0
Second
2876
#20
37.52.1
35.8→37.9
Auto9.7
Teleop25.0
End2.8
red by 1.6
2053
#45
35.92.3
41.1→38.9
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End1.3
Third
8544
#34
27.62.1
21.7→23.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End5.7
red by 17.5
10229
#55
10.12.3
13.2→11.0
Auto0.5
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed