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Red180
176880.2
715344.7
19074.3
Blue144
174034.9
404839.4
568773.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228174100150200250300180144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
12Coral scored#6
59Coral points32
65Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +12
19Coral scored#15
67Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
91Total teleop79
Reef
12L4#7
10L3#7
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
180Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.22.2
71.068.8
Auto23.9
Teleop46.3
End9.9
red by 7.0
5687
#37
73.22.3
84.682.2
Auto22.2
Teleop44.8
End6.3
Second
190
#4
74.32.2
79.377.1
Auto23.8
Teleop41.6
End8.9
red by 34.9
4048
#26
39.42.3
42.339.9
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End8.0
Third
7153
#23
44.72.2
51.349.1
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0
red by 9.8
1740
#14
34.92.3
41.138.7
Auto10.5
Teleop16.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned