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Red132
1006326.1
107351.0
46754.3
Blue120
242343.5
346760.9
127735.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14215450100200132120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+34Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
86Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points2
132Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#54
54.30.3
53.953.6
Auto12.6
Teleop34.6
End7.1
blue by 6.6
3467
#21
60.91.5
62.160.6
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
Second
1073
#19
51.00.3
47.547.2
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
red by 7.5
2423
#31
43.51.5
35.734.2
Auto14.1
Teleop25.0
End4.4
Third
26.10.3
23.823.5
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End3.4
blue by 9.4
35.51.5
33.832.4
Auto5.3
Teleop19.7
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned