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Qual 152025 BattleCry at WPI
Red70
872425.7
17731.1
15739.2
Blue154
172946.1
234249.3
17527.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221255010015020070154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+80
Endgame+82
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points31
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +55
8Coral scored#19
28Coral points67
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
46Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#12
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points2
70Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#27
39.22.7
36.4→33.6
Auto1.6
Teleop29.1
End8.5
blue by 10.2
2342
#7
49.32.6
52.3→54.9
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
Second
177
#59
31.12.7
40.3→37.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End6.8
blue by 15.0
1729
#25
46.12.6
34.3→36.9
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
Third
8724
#61
25.72.7
33.9→31.2
Auto4.1
Teleop19.8
End1.8
blue by 1.4
175
#33
27.22.6
25.7→28.3
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsMissed