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Red63
431139.4
1022910.1
147410.1
Blue125
287761.3
715344.7
944320.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6818605010015020025063125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+68
Endgame+58
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points37
12Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +40
5Coral scored#15
17Coral points55
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
27Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#9
1L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
8Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points4
63Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#41
39.40.7
38.838.0
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
blue by 21.9
2877
#32
61.32.1
69.967.8
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
Second
1474
#60
10.10.7
13.212.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 34.6
7153
#23
44.72.1
49.147.0
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0
Third
10.10.7
11.010.2
Auto0.5
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 10.7
9443
#58
20.82.1
22.920.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsMissed