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Red137
46754.3
431139.4
318225.4
Blue169
174034.9
632462.2
237057.8
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145197050100250300137169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave0
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points12
32Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +42
11Coral scored#23
41Coral points83
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
79Total teleop121
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points0
137Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#54
54.30.1
53.653.5
Auto12.6
Teleop34.6
End7.1
blue by 7.9
6324
#15
62.20.0
57.657.7
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
Second
4311
#41
39.40.1
38.037.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
blue by 18.4
2370
#49
57.80.0
61.361.3
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
Third
3182
#57
25.40.1
30.930.8
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End3.0
blue by 9.5
1740
#14
34.90.0
35.835.8
Auto10.5
Teleop16.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned