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Red82
279131.9
17731.1
175741.2
Blue103
964238.3
404839.4
208420.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12611405010015020082103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
52Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points6
82Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#46
41.22.4
39.236.8
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
red by 1.8
4048
#26
39.41.0
40.139.2
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End8.0
Second
2791
#38
31.92.4
35.933.5
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
blue by 6.4
9642
#43
38.31.0
45.644.7
Auto9.1
Teleop24.2
End5.0
Third
177
#59
31.12.4
37.635.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End6.8
red by 10.5
2084
#24
20.61.0
20.019.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned