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Red105
31933.6
287637.5
205335.9
Blue114
115527.1
19074.3
287761.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107213050150250300105114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+31
Endgame+21
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points28
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#14
25Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
53Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
12Foul points0
105Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#20
37.51.0
35.033.9
Auto9.7
Teleop25.0
End2.8
blue by 36.8
190
#4
74.34.4
74.269.8
Auto23.8
Teleop41.6
End8.9
Second
2053
#45
35.91.0
37.936.8
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End1.3
blue by 25.4
2877
#32
61.34.4
67.863.4
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
Third
319
#22
33.61.0
30.529.5
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7
red by 6.5
1155
#52
27.14.4
31.727.3
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed