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Red138
110040.7
740784.3
174034.9
Blue122
271345.7
15739.2
172946.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19711350100150250138122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+28Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points26
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
88Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points6
138Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#11
84.33.0
85.182.0
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
red by 38.2
1729
#25
46.10.3
35.134.9
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
Second
1100
#30
40.73.0
51.648.5
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End4.6
blue by 5.0
2713
#28
45.70.3
44.344.0
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
Third
1740
#14
34.93.0
35.832.8
Auto10.5
Teleop16.6
End7.9
blue by 4.3
157
#27
39.20.3
34.934.6
Auto1.6
Teleop29.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned