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Red118
568773.2
226221.4
872425.7
Blue160
632462.2
457520.3
1022910.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15996050200250118160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +27
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points65
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
12Processor points24
24Net points24
36Algae points48
86Total teleop113
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points2
118Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#37
73.22.1
78.876.7
Auto22.2
Teleop44.8
End6.3
red by 11.1
6324
#15
62.23.5
57.761.2
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
Second
8724
#61
25.72.1
31.329.2
Auto4.1
Teleop19.8
End1.8
red by 5.4
4575
#56
20.33.5
19.523.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Third
2262
#62
21.42.1
20.518.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End2.6
red by 11.3
10.13.5
8.111.6
Auto0.5
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned