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Red129
7865.8
242343.5
279131.9
Blue117
944320.8
13867.1
175741.2
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148129050100200250129117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave9
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points7
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
62Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points12
129Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#6
65.80.1
61.561.4
Auto19.1
Teleop36.4
End10.3
blue by 1.3
138
#29
67.10.9
63.762.7
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
2423
#31
43.50.1
33.533.4
Auto14.1
Teleop25.0
End4.4
red by 2.3
1757
#46
41.20.9
36.835.9
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
Third
2791
#38
31.90.1
33.533.4
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
red by 11.1
9443
#58
20.80.9
18.617.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsMissed