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Qual 382025 BattleCry at WPI
Red81
715344.7
159145.5
205335.9
Blue135
287637.5
23836.1
46754.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151134020030040050060070080081135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points50
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
58Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points14
81Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#42
45.53.7
48.0→44.3
Auto12.7
Teleop28.1
End4.7
blue by 8.8
467
#54
54.30.4
53.5→53.2
Auto12.6
Teleop34.6
End7.1
Second
7153
#23
44.73.7
46.2→42.5
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0
red by 7.3
2876
#20
37.50.4
33.9→33.6
Auto9.7
Teleop25.0
End2.8
Third
2053
#45
35.93.7
36.8→33.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End1.3
blue by 0.2
238
#12
36.10.4
32.9→32.6
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed