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Red191
8887.0
870844.0
207929.6
Blue191
632874.0
740784.3
854427.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157201100250300191191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
7Coral scored#10
34Coral points48
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +13
29Coral scored#22
105Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
125Total teleop112
Reef
13L4#14
7L3#8
10L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points14
191Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
87.0
Auto19.9
Teleop56.0
End11.2
red by 2.7
7407
#11
84.3
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
Second
8708
#18
44.0
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
blue by 30.0
6328
#40
74.0
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
Third
2079
#36
29.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.9
End2.1
red by 2.0
8544
#34
27.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed