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Red202
107351.0
808541.1
173533.7
Blue180
15739.2
457520.3
694106.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113187050100150200250300202180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+8
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#25
75Coral points90
5Processor algae#4
9Net algae#6
30Processor points24
36Net points24
66Algae points48
141Total teleop138
Reef
10L4#9
5L3#7
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#40
BargeRed +24
36Cage & park12
36Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
202Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#19
51.05.1
48.253.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
blue by 55.6
694
#3
106.60.8
99.9100.7
Auto26.3
Teleop65.3
End15.0
Second
41.15.1
36.141.2
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
red by 1.9
157
#27
39.20.8
34.635.3
Auto1.6
Teleop29.1
End8.5
Third
1735
#35
33.75.1
24.429.5
Auto2.4
Teleop25.9
End5.4
red by 13.4
4575
#56
20.30.8
23.023.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed