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Red61
226517.2
1022910.1
568773.2
Blue151
175741.2
234249.3
174034.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13014305010020025061151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+72
Endgame+84
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
8Coral scored#17
30Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
48Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#7
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
2Foul points8
61Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#37
73.24.8
76.771.9
Auto22.2
Teleop44.8
End6.3
red by 23.9
49.30.3
55.455.6
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
Second
2265
#51
17.24.8
22.317.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 24.0
1757
#46
41.20.3
35.936.1
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
Third
10.14.8
11.66.8
Auto0.5
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 24.8
1740
#14
34.90.3
32.833.0
Auto10.5
Teleop16.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsMissed