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Red146
632462.2
4847.8
287637.5
Blue157
242343.5
172946.1
15136.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159100050200250146157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#20
70Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
102Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#11
9L3#9
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
146Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#15
62.20.5
61.261.7
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
red by 16.1
1729
#25
46.14.0
34.938.8
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
Second
48
#48
47.80.5
43.043.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.9
End7.1
red by 4.3
2423
#31
43.54.0
33.437.4
Auto14.1
Teleop25.0
End4.4
Third
2876
#20
37.50.5
33.634.1
Auto9.7
Teleop25.0
End2.8
red by 0.6
151
#50
36.94.0
29.333.3
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed