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Qual 582025 BattleCry at WPI
Red108
15739.2
13146.8
159145.5
Blue120
944320.8
964238.3
176880.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13915350100200250108120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
+2Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +26
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
66Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
12Foul points14
108Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#10
46.82.6
45.4→42.8
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
blue by 33.4
1768
#1
80.22.2
75.3→73.1
Auto23.9
Teleop46.3
End9.9
Second
1591
#42
45.52.6
45.8→43.3
Auto12.7
Teleop28.1
End4.7
red by 7.2
9642
#43
38.32.2
39.7→37.5
Auto9.1
Teleop24.2
End5.0
Third
157
#27
39.22.6
35.3→32.7
Auto1.6
Teleop29.1
End8.5
red by 18.4
9443
#58
20.82.2
18.2→16.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned