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Qual 612025 BattleCry at WPI
Red127
127735.5
15136.9
856733.6
Blue86
226221.4
279131.9
404839.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119205015020012786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+9Teleop
+29Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
68Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#2
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
12Foul points0
127Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#50
36.91.0
33.3→34.3
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8
blue by 2.4
4048
#26
39.40.2
37.1→37.3
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End8.0
Second
1277
#9
35.51.0
33.0→34.1
Auto5.3
Teleop19.7
End10.5
red by 3.6
2791
#38
31.90.2
30.3→30.4
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
Third
8567
#39
33.61.0
33.2→34.2
Auto5.5
Teleop24.2
End3.9
red by 12.2
2262
#62
21.40.2
15.7→15.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed