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Red103
870844.0
50111.7
115527.1
Blue106
17527.2
271345.7
715344.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77130050100150200103106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points63
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
74Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points2
103Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8708
#18
44.00.6
43.043.7
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
blue by 1.7
2713
#28
45.71.1
42.841.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
Second
1155
#52
27.10.6
25.125.8
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.5
blue by 17.7
7153
#23
44.71.1
41.240.1
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0
Third
501
#44
11.70.6
8.38.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 15.4
175
#33
27.21.1
30.028.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed