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Red84
107351.0
110040.7
234249.3
Blue78
318225.4
147410.1
287637.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1865701001502503008478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+8
+16Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points14
29Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +17
5Coral scored#7
17Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
27Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points12
84Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#19
51.05.0
54.749.7
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
red by 13.5
2876
#20
37.50.3
36.636.3
Auto9.7
Teleop25.0
End2.8
Second
49.35.0
54.849.9
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
red by 23.9
3182
#57
25.40.3
26.225.9
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Third
1100
#30
40.75.0
47.342.3
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End4.6
red by 30.6
1474
#60
10.10.3
7.87.5
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed