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Red163
740784.3
205335.9
242343.5
Blue210
694106.6
173533.7
226517.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1731550100200300400500163210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+35
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
23Coral scored#30
82Coral points109
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
6Processor points6
24Net points20
30Algae points26
112Total teleop135
Reef
10L4#13
10L3#14
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points12
163Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#11
84.30.2
83.483.3
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
blue by 22.2
694
#3
106.63.0
99.9102.8
Auto26.3
Teleop65.3
End15.0
Second
2423
#31
43.50.2
36.135.9
Auto14.1
Teleop25.0
End4.4
red by 9.8
1735
#35
33.73.0
28.531.5
Auto2.4
Teleop25.9
End5.4
Third
2053
#45
35.90.2
34.934.7
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End1.3
red by 18.7
2265
#51
17.23.0
13.616.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned