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Red160
207929.6
346760.9
179680.7
Blue160
31933.6
237057.8
15739.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198128050100150250300160160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
20Coral scored#20
72Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
108Total teleop113
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#4
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
12Foul points0
160Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.7
Auto22.0
Teleop47.2
End11.5
red by 22.9
2370
#49
57.8
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
Second
3467
#21
60.9
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
red by 21.7
157
#27
39.2
Auto1.6
Teleop29.1
End8.5
Third
2079
#36
29.6
Auto7.6
Teleop19.9
End2.1
blue by 4.0
319
#22
33.6
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned