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Red176
13867.1
105834.2
172946.1
Blue140
964238.3
159145.5
568773.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149178050100200250300176140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+14Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
6Coral scored#8
31Coral points40
37Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +20
22Coral scored#15
79Coral points55
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
113Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#9
11L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
176Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#29
67.12.3
64.066.3
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
blue by 6.2
5687
#37
73.21.4
74.472.9
Auto22.2
Teleop44.8
End6.3
Second
1729
#25
46.12.3
40.743.0
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
red by 0.6
1591
#42
45.51.4
43.341.8
Auto12.7
Teleop28.1
End4.7
Third
1058
#47
34.22.3
31.533.8
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0
blue by 4.1
9642
#43
38.31.4
37.536.1
Auto9.1
Teleop24.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed