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Red160
808541.1
632874.0
23836.1
Blue106
19074.3
1022910.1
17731.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160128050100200250160106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+54Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +42
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
114Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#4
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
2Foul points0
160Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#40
74.00.7
68.268.9
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
blue by 0.2
190
#4
74.30.8
71.470.5
Auto23.8
Teleop41.6
End8.9
Second
41.10.7
41.342.0
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
red by 10.0
177
#59
31.10.8
27.827.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End6.8
Third
238
#12
36.10.7
28.829.5
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8
red by 26.0
10.10.8
8.27.4
Auto0.5
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed