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Red109
208420.6
404139.4
856733.6
Blue102
46754.3
854427.6
457520.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105123050150200109102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
79Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points4
109Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#16
39.40.5
35.135.7
Auto5.8
Teleop27.0
End6.5
blue by 14.9
467
#54
54.30.8
55.154.3
Auto12.6
Teleop34.6
End7.1
Second
8567
#39
33.60.5
34.234.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.2
End3.9
red by 6.0
8544
#34
27.60.8
26.025.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End5.7
Third
2084
#24
20.60.5
19.520.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End3.6
red by 0.3
4575
#56
20.30.8
19.919.1
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed