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Red80
944320.8
115527.1
15136.9
Blue142
16662.0
870844.0
174034.9
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7215805010020025080142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+40
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +38
6Leave0
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points44
6Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points52
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
72Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#5
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
80Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#50
36.90.3
34.334.0
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8
blue by 25.1
166
#17
62.00.1
56.056.1
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
Second
1155
#52
27.10.3
25.825.5
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End0.5
blue by 17.0
8708
#18
44.00.1
43.743.7
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
Third
9443
#58
20.80.3
16.015.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End4.2
blue by 14.1
1740
#14
34.90.1
32.933.0
Auto10.5
Teleop16.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned