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Red118
50111.7
715344.7
7865.8
Blue162
490957.9
279131.9
632462.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115171050100150200250300118162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+48
Endgame+48
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave6
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points41
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +24
13Coral scored#20
45Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
77Total teleop101
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#7
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
4Foul points0
118Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#6
65.80.2
62.062.2
Auto19.1
Teleop36.4
End10.3
red by 3.6
6324
#15
62.21.0
58.359.2
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
Second
7153
#23
44.70.2
40.140.3
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0
blue by 13.2
4909
#53
57.91.0
58.759.7
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
Third
501
#44
11.70.2
8.99.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 20.2
2791
#38
31.91.0
30.431.4
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed