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Red106
173533.7
174034.9
457520.3
Blue100
964238.3
147410.1
31933.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9577050150200106100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
0Processor points6
12Net points20
12Algae points26
54Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
106Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#14
34.91.4
33.034.4
Auto10.5
Teleop16.6
End7.9
blue by 3.4
9642
#43
38.31.8
36.137.9
Auto9.1
Teleop24.2
End5.0
Second
1735
#35
33.71.4
31.532.8
Auto2.4
Teleop25.9
End5.4
red by 0.1
319
#22
33.61.8
29.030.8
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7
Third
4575
#56
20.31.4
19.120.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End2.4
red by 10.2
1474
#60
10.11.8
7.59.3
Auto1.5
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned