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Red182
234249.3
13146.8
870844.0
Blue182
632462.2
808541.1
127735.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1591480200400600800182182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points21
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +25
23Coral scored#24
81Coral points86
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
6Processor points18
20Net points28
26Algae points46
107Total teleop132
Reef
10L4#11
8L3#10
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#38
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points6
182Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.3
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
blue by 12.8
6324
#15
62.2
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
Second
131
#10
46.8
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
red by 5.7
41.1
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
Third
8708
#18
44.0
Auto10.3
Teleop28.6
End5.1
red by 8.6
35.5
Auto5.3
Teleop19.7
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed