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Red211
16662.0
205335.9
8887.0
Blue160
404839.4
7865.8
4847.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193154100250300211160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+63Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
6Coral scored#8
31Coral points42
40Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +71
29Coral scored#15
103Coral points54
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
147Total teleop76
Reef
15L4#8
9L3#8
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
211Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
87.02.5
82.885.3
Auto19.9
Teleop56.0
End11.2
red by 21.2
78
#6
65.80.9
62.263.1
Auto19.1
Teleop36.4
End10.3
Second
166
#17
62.02.5
56.158.6
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
red by 14.2
48
#48
47.80.9
45.045.9
Auto8.9
Teleop31.9
End7.1
Third
2053
#45
35.92.5
34.737.2
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End1.3
blue by 3.5
4048
#26
39.40.9
38.739.6
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned