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Red162
172946.1
46754.3
287761.3
Blue205
175741.2
176880.2
226221.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173140050100200250300162205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+41
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +12
25Coral scored#30
90Coral points108
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
118Total teleop130
Reef
10L4#17
11L3#6
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#7
37Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points2
162Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#32
61.30.4
59.258.8
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
blue by 18.9
80.24.4
74.178.5
Auto23.9
Teleop46.3
End9.9
Second
467
#54
54.30.4
54.354.0
Auto12.6
Teleop34.6
End7.1
red by 13.1
1757
#46
41.24.4
35.439.8
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
Third
1729
#25
46.10.4
43.042.6
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
red by 24.7
2262
#62
21.44.4
16.220.6
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned