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Red114
50111.7
207929.6
15136.9
Blue142
1022910.1
159145.5
404139.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74103050150200114142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+2
Endgame+26
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#17
68Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
96Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points2
114Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#50
36.92.1
34.036.1
Auto7.3
Teleop30.4
End-0.8
blue by 8.6
1591
#42
45.52.5
41.844.4
Auto12.7
Teleop28.1
End4.7
Second
2079
#36
29.62.1
25.027.1
Auto7.6
Teleop19.9
End2.1
blue by 9.8
4041
#16
39.42.5
35.738.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.0
End6.5
Third
501
#44
11.72.1
9.111.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 1.7
10.12.5
7.49.9
Auto0.5
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned