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Red167
632874.0
944320.8
271345.7
Blue123
872425.7
107351.0
490957.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141158050100200250300167123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +31
23Coral scored#14
83Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
109Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#5
10L3#3
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points8
167Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#40
74.02.4
68.971.4
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
red by 16.1
4909
#53
57.91.6
59.758.0
Auto15.1
Teleop34.8
End8.0
Second
2713
#28
45.72.4
43.145.5
Auto7.5
Teleop30.4
End7.9
blue by 5.2
1073
#19
51.01.6
49.748.0
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
Third
9443
#58
20.82.4
15.718.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End4.2
blue by 4.9
8724
#61
25.71.6
27.225.6
Auto4.1
Teleop19.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed