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Red108
431139.4
17527.2
110040.7
Blue175
279131.9
1006326.1
740784.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130173050100150200250108175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+65
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
13Coral scored#21
46Coral points77
2Processor algae#6
5Net algae#4
12Processor points36
20Net points16
32Algae points52
78Total teleop129
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
108Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#30
40.71.8
40.738.9
Auto8.7
Teleop27.5
End4.6
blue by 43.6
7407
#11
84.31.0
84.385.2
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
Second
4311
#41
39.41.8
42.240.4
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
red by 7.6
2791
#38
31.91.0
31.432.4
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
Third
175
#33
27.21.8
29.227.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.4
End2.7
red by 1.1
26.11.0
23.924.8
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned