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Red158
808541.1
431139.4
740784.3
Blue146
237057.8
1006326.1
175741.2
86%Model gave it14%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192125050100150250300158146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points20
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points59
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
6Processor points18
20Net points20
26Algae points38
92Total teleop97
Reef
11L4#6
5L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points0
158Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#11
84.30.7
85.384.6
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
red by 26.5
2370
#49
57.80.1
57.757.8
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
Second
41.10.7
42.041.4
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
blue by 0.1
1757
#46
41.20.1
41.141.2
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
Third
4311
#41
39.40.7
40.439.7
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
red by 13.3
26.10.1
26.026.1
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End3.4