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Red179
632874.0
7865.8
944320.8
Blue166
172946.1
715344.7
16662.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16613704006008001,000179166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+29Teleop
+17Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points21
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
22Coral scored#15
78Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
6Processor points18
28Net points32
34Algae points50
112Total teleop104
Reef
12L4#5
9L3#6
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points6
179Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#40
74.00.4
73.273.6
Auto17.1
Teleop47.7
End9.2
red by 12.0
166
#17
62.00.2
61.962.0
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
Second
78
#6
65.80.4
65.065.4
Auto19.1
Teleop36.4
End10.3
red by 19.7
1729
#25
46.10.2
45.946.1
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
Third
9443
#58
20.80.4
20.020.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.5
End4.2
blue by 23.9
7153
#23
44.70.2
44.644.7
Auto9.7
Teleop28.0
End7.0