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Red215
808541.1
431139.4
740784.3
Blue194
13867.1
15739.2
23836.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190124050100150250300215194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
29Coral scored#36
104Coral points128
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
18Processor points6
24Net points20
42Algae points26
146Total teleop154
Reef
11L4#15
8L3#11
11L2#4
4L1 · trough#8
43Game pieces#44
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
215Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#11
84.30.5
84.885.3
Auto22.6
Teleop50.5
End11.3
red by 17.2
138
#29
67.10.7
66.467.1
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
41.10.5
41.542.0
Auto4.5
Teleop30.3
End6.3
red by 1.9
157
#27
39.20.7
38.539.2
Auto1.6
Teleop29.1
End8.5
Third
4311
#41
39.40.5
39.940.4
Auto6.9
Teleop23.5
End9.0
red by 3.3
238
#12
36.10.7
35.436.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8