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Red144
237057.8
1006326.1
175741.2
Blue130
346760.9
205335.9
234249.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12111880100140160144130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+8
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +9
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
95Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#11
8L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#30
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
144Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#49
57.80.5
57.257.7
Auto8.3
Teleop41.0
End8.4
blue by 3.1
3467
#21
60.90.4
61.360.9
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
Second
1757
#46
41.20.5
40.641.1
Auto8.4
Teleop24.6
End8.1
blue by 8.1
49.30.4
49.749.3
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
Third
26.10.5
25.526.0
Auto3.6
Teleop19.1
End3.4
blue by 9.8
2053
#45
35.90.4
36.335.9
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End1.3