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Red166
287761.3
13146.8
207929.6
Blue148
13867.1
15739.2
23836.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411880100140160180166148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+32Teleop
+24Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
29Coral scored#23
103Coral points83
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
139Total teleop107
Reef
11L4#9
11L3#9
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points6
166Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#32
61.30.8
58.859.6
Auto17.6
Teleop37.2
End6.5
blue by 5.8
138
#29
67.10.0
66.266.3
Auto13.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
131
#10
46.80.8
44.345.1
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.1
red by 7.7
157
#27
39.20.0
38.438.5
Auto1.6
Teleop29.1
End8.5
Third
2079
#36
29.60.8
27.127.9
Auto7.6
Teleop19.9
End2.1
blue by 6.5
238
#12
36.10.0
35.235.3
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8